Trump just warned Iran to "be careful" on July 7, and Iran immediately made two tough responses.
The first strong response was on July 8, when the Iranian Atomic Energy Organization spoke Kamalwandi claimed that the next stage will not rule out the enrichment of uranium to 20%. Iran reduces its commitments to the Iran nuclear agreement every 60 days. ThisThis is the third step. The Iranian side also emphasized that if Britain, Germany, France and the European Union, which are signatories to the agreement, cannot fulfill their commitments, they will continue to advance the next steps.
As the first vice president of Iran, Jahan Kiri emphasized: One year after the United States tore up the “Iranian Nuclear Agreement”, it’s utmost for Iran to remain in this framework. Therefore, even if patience becomes more and more in the future Less should be understood.
After the United States instructed Britain to seize an Iranian oil tanker in the Strait of Gibraltar, the situation in the Middle East has approached the brink of war. On the one hand, Iran demanded that Britain release the tanker, and on the other hand, it vowed to retaliate to the greatest extent.
The second response is more interesting. The United States and Iran fight law, and it is Saudi Arabia that was beaten and injured.
According to Russian media reports on July 9th, the Houthi armed forces claimed on the 8th that they used drones to attack the airport, power plants and other facilities in the city of Abha, Saudi Arabia. Grounded. According to the latest news from foreign media, the Houthis supported by Iran launched 18 new cruise missiles into Saudi Arabia.
Saudi Arabia is a close ally of the United States, and Crown Prince Salman or Trump The son-in-law Kushner’s close friend taught that Saudi Arabia is demonstrating to the United States and Britain.
In order to strengthen the Houthi armed forces to resist the sandIn particular, Iran has assisted it with a large number of advanced weapons, including upgraded drones and various missiles. Earlier, the Houthis had attacked Jizan in southern Saudi Arabia, making it impossible for Saudi fighters deployed in this area to take off.
The use of agents to attack agents will probably be the focus of the game between the United States and Iran.
It can be said that the United States and Iran are engaged in a "cliff game", and both sides are wandering on the blade.
Iran’s bet is that Trump "blink first." Russian media analyzed that although Iran has increased the abundance of enriched uranium, which has made the United States angry, the United States is not crazy enough to go to war. If the US military wants to launch a war against a country as large as Iran, it will need to prepare for at least three to six months. What's more, air strikes alone cannot make the Persians yield. If the U.S. military wants to win the war, it is bound to launch a ground battle, and it is conservatively estimated that it will also need to assemble 500,000 troops. Thus, The scale of the war will exceed the war in Iraq and Afghanistan. The loss of the United States will be immeasurable.
Trump’s main strategy now is to force Iran to accept its terms through intimidation. He also threatens in a subtle way: if something happens, it will not take too long. . Trump claimed on June 26 that if force was used against Iran, the war would not last too long and that ground troops would not be dispatched. It can be seen that the United States must have repeatedly and seriously deduced the war plan.
The problem is that a "short and violent attack" cannot seriously injure Iran. The victory of the war does not mean The U.S. military is able to solve the problem, and Tehran is therefore immune to the extreme pressure of the U.S..
In short, what Iran wants is for the U.S. to lift sanctions in exchange for dialogue. "Nuclear Agreement" mentality to resist the United States.
Trump used the Iran issue for the election, and Iran used the Iranian issue to tide over the economic crisis. Various complex interests were intertwined, and what was ultimately damaged was "Iran Nuclear Agreement".