The wisdom of a big country makes a small country happy! Analysis of why Putin did not sanction Georgia

2020-08-03 12:58:26 0 Comment 1530 views
abstract

On the evening of July 7th, Gabunia, the host of the Georgian "Rustavi-2" TV station, suddenly openly "fired" Putin on Putin when he was hosting a TV

On the 9th, Russian President Putin stated that out of respect for the Georgian people, he does not support economic sanctions against Georgia.

This is undoubtedly good news for Georgia. Georgian Prime Minister Bakhtaze quickly responded that day that Putin's decision was very good, and Georgia welcomed it.

The wisdom of a big country makes a small country happy! Analysis of why Putin did not sanction Georgia

So popularWhy did Beijing decide not to sanction Georgia?

First review the cause of the incident. On the evening of July 7th, Gabunia, the host of the Georgian "Rustavi-2" TV station, suddenly openly "fired" at Putin when he was hosting a TV program, blaming Putin as an "aggressor" and "Russians are all slave". In addition, he also "greeted" Putin's late parents by the way.

Unexpectedly, the death of this reckless man drew Russian anger. The next day, the Russian President’s Information Bureau, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Russian Federation Council (upper house of parliament) and the State Duma (lower house of parliament) and other key Russian departments all expressed their views that such behavior was unacceptable. In addition, the members of the Russian State Duma who are usually noisy also convened an emergency plenary meeting and passed a special statement recommending that the government stop importing Georgian wine and mineral water, and suspend transfers and remittances from Russia to Georgia. Press Secretary of the Russian PresidentPeskov said that the current parliament's position is "completely unanimous", waiting for Putin's final decision.

The wisdom of a big country makes a small country happy! Analysis of why Putin did not sanction Georgia

Russian State Duma Building.

At this moment of "the arrow is on the string", Putin suddenly stopped sanctions. The reason is that the statement "out of respect for the Georgian people" is estimated to account for only a very small part. The real reason is the sanctions at this time.Georgia is not in Russia’s interests.

The three sanctions proposed by the Russian State Duma directly point to Georgia’s main source of foreign exchange income from Russia, which is not imprecise. But you must know that economic sanctions have always been a double-edged sword, and both those who apply them and those who are imposed must bear the pain.

The wisdom of a big country makes a small country happy! Analysis of why Putin did not sanction Georgia

Georgian red wine occupies an important share in the Russian market.

At present, Russia has beenThe country’s sanctions and its economic strength are extremely inconsistent with its status as a major power. The GDP of Russia is about the same as that of China’s Guangdong Province. Georgia's red wine and mineral water are the best-selling products on the Russian domestic market, occupying a large market share. If the import of these products is stopped in accordance with the State Duma’s opinion, the Russian government will inevitably lose a large amount of tax revenue, and at the same time it will need to spend more money to find import substitutes from other countries.

The measures to stop transfers and remittances to Georgia are even more severe, which is equivalent to completely cutting off the economic and trade exchanges between the two countries. But this measure will cause serious losses to Russia itself. Therefore, since the Soviet era, Georgia and the southern region of Russia have been used to formulate economic plans as a whole, and the economic ties between the two sides are very close. If the economic ties between the two are suddenly interrupted, it will seriously affect the economic development of the southern Russian states.

The wisdom of a big country makes a small country happy! Analysis of why Putin did not sanction Georgia

Georgia borders on southern Russia.

More importantly, the cessation of transfers and remittances to Georgia is strict, but the expected effect is limited. Georgian companies and individuals are likely to conduct remittances and transfers with Russia through a third country, so this measure may ultimately only prosper the financial industry of other countries.

In addition, due to the large-scale anti-Russian protests that broke out in Georgia before, RussiaCivil flights with Georgia were suspended on the 8th. This makes the relationship between Russia and Georgia worse. Now that the economic exchanges between the two countries are cut off, in the end, Georgia, a small Caucasus powerhouse, can be completely pushed into the embrace of Western countries. In the long run, this will be very detrimental to Russia's international development environment.

The wisdom of a big country makes a small country happy! Analysis of why Putin did not sanction Georgia

Georgia had a large-scale anti-Russian protest.

Therefore, the sanctionsThere is no real benefit to Russia from Romania. However, if sanctions are not imposed, Putin's leadership of a major power can be demonstrated, and at the same time, it will leave the seeds for improving the relations between Russia and Georgia.

Analyze the pros and cons, sane people will make choices. Therefore, on the 9th, Putin said calmly that what a person said indiscriminately made himself from an unknown person to the object of everyone's discussion. "Then, there will naturally be people in Georgia who will oppose him."

In addition, Putin also emphasized not to prosecute the host. Otherwise, let him "too honored". This attitude of not bullying the small and treating Xiao Xiao's slobber as nothingness will undoubtedly attract countless fans.

But don’t just think that the Russian president is really like the American president, everyone can scold. In order to prevent Georgian people from following suit, Putin also warned that if anti-Russian sentiment in Georgia continues to spread, “thenEventually the people of Georgia will reap the bitter fruit".

The wisdom of a big country makes a small country happy! Analysis of why Putin did not sanction Georgia

Things have come to an end for the time being. So far, Georgia is lucky. Because of Russia The political wisdom of Georgian people has avoided paying the bill for an arrogant TV host.

But then, all walks of life in Georgia should reflect on it as a tightHow can a small country relying on behemoths maintain the dignity of the country and the nation, prevent the spread of extreme ethnic sentiment, and avoid recurrence of the weak bullying the strong and self-inflicted misfortune. Georgian politicians should also re-examine their policies towards Russia. Since ancient times, "between Qi and Chu" has been the way for small countries to survive. To blindly tease the national sentiments in order to vote is tantamount to a fisherman and a swallow's nest. Disaster will come sooner or later. (End)

Let’s take a closer look at Russia and show you our northern neighbors. Pay attention.

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