Sharp Edge/Longitudinal Theory
If you want to ask who the US military is most afraid of in the 21st century? Probably not other global military powers, but a small Asian country-Afghanistan. Eighteen years have passed since the US military intervened in the Afghanistan War in 2001. In order to support this costly war, the US military has paid more than 22,000 soldiers dead and wounded and military expenditures of trillions of dollars. It can be regarded as the most expensive since the Vietnam War. Of war. However, the Taliban in Afghanistan have become a nightmare for the US military. In the war that lasted for many years, the US military has never been able to completely defeat its opponents. Instead, it has gradually lost its spirit and belief in winning in the long guerrilla war of attrition.
Recently, Zalme Khalilza, the U.S. Representative for Reconciliation Affairs in Afghanistan Germany said that the U.S. government and the Taliban have made important progress in their negotiations. According to the Taliban, this so-called major progress is that the U.S. and the Taliban are likely to reach a consensus in the next 8-9 days. Completed the complete withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan within this month.
Before the US commander-in-chief in Afghanistan has stated that Trump has granted him the task of completing the withdrawal from Afghanistan as soon as possible at all costs. The speech was not made up, the United States has really lostAfghanistan’s determination to persevere. If the US military really retreats from Afghanistan, it means that their 18-year battle in Afghanistan has completely lost its meaning, and the war that the US has fought with huge military expenditures has finally ended in failure. And from this failure of the US military, there is still a lot of experience that we can learn from.
First, the US military once again proved to the world that guerrillaWar of attrition is one of the most difficult modes of war in the world. The U.S. military has the strongest technical equipment in the world. If they fight a frontal war, almost no country will be their opponent. But in guerrilla sports, the guerrilla team has no targets that must be defended or overcome. Therefore, the U.S. military is always unable to seize the main force of the Taliban in a decisive battle. Instead, they can only meet with each other continuously in the aimless war of attrition. This is the same as that of the Vietnam War. American soldiers had to abandon advanced technology to fight each other face to face. It can be seen that fighting guerrillas under complicated terrain is an insurmountable difficulty for any military.
On the other hand, the United States The policy of trying to maintain security in Afghanistan has also proved to be a complete failure. As former US Secretary of State Kissinger said, if you can control 50% of a country to ensure 100% security, it is much better than controlling 90% of a country with only 80% security. This is exactly the situation in Afghanistan. Although the United States can control the vast majority of the population, it cannot maintain absolute security in the area under its control. This makes the efforts to stabilize the situation in Afghanistan completely failed. Therefore, posterity should understand that from a tactical point of view, we would rather shrink our forces to maintain absolute stability in some areas than to spread our forces to obtain unstable conditions across a large area.pan>The site.
Of course, apart from tactical thinking, the United States’ strategic failure is the most important thing for all countries. Lesson learned. At the end of the 20th century and the beginning of the 21st century, the United States' national power reached its peak, and there is no second country in the world that can compete with it. At this time, Washington was too self-inflated. They launched several matches in succession.Foreign war. As a result, it has consumed its national power in increasingly frequent foreign wars. From the ease of the Gulf War, to the inadequacy of the Iraq War, to the difficulty of the Afghanistan War. The experience of the United States tells us that after any powerful country over-expands, the next consequence is the loss of national strength. The result is bound to reach the apex of expansion someday in the future, thus accepting the arrival of failure.